{"id":425,"date":"2005-06-21T15:03:57","date_gmt":"2005-06-21T15:03:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=425"},"modified":"2005-06-21T15:03:57","modified_gmt":"2005-06-21T15:03:57","slug":"rezim_probabilitas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=425","title":{"rendered":"Rezim Probabilitas"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Rezim<\/div>\n

_”On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. –Fight Club”_
\nKetika kita melihat realita disekeliling kita yang sering kita lakukan adalah mengkategorikan realita tersebut dalam berbagai kategori:
\nLaki-laki, wanita, anak-anak, orang tua.
\nHeteroseksual, homoseksual, gay, lesbian, transvestite, belum pasti.
\nIndah, jelek, biasa aja.
\nBenar, salah.
\nPakar beneran, pakar boongan, pakar-pakaran dan banyak lagi.
\n_Dengan cara ini realita menjadi lebih mudah untuk dimengerti, gampang dipelajari dan terlihat rapih._<\/p>\n

\"Yahoo!<\/div>\n

Lihat halaman depan “direktori Yahoo!”:http:\/\/dir.yahoo.com\/ misalnya. Setiap website memilik kategorinya masing-masing, yang dibagi atas sub-kategori, yang dibagi lagi atas sub-sub kategori dan begitu seterusnya.
\nTertata rapih dalam sebuah struktur hirarki dengan bentuk seperti pohon yang bercabang-cabang.
\nJika sebuah situs dapat dimasukkan dalam beberapa kategori, maka Yahoo! dengan baiknya melink kategori satunya lagi di kategori tersebut, terjadilah hubungan relasi antara beberapa kategori.
\nIni realita kita. Dunia yang terbagi dalam kategori-kategori deterministik dimana setiap hal, setiap orang, setiap benda memiliki kategori, memiliki tempatnya.
\nO ya, kita bisa masuk dalam dua atau lebih kategori yang berbeda, tapi masih tetap dalam tatanan struktur hirarki tersebut.
\n_Dulu mungkin begitu._
\nClay Shirky dalam tulisannya “Ontology is Overrated: Categories, Links, and Tags”:http:\/\/www.shirky.com\/writings\/ontology_overrated.html menggambarkan sebuah realita yang berbeda.
\nYang dia contohkan adalah layanan social-bookmark yang namanya “del.icio.us”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/. Di layanan ini, berbeda dari Yahoo dengan struktur hirarki-nya yang dibuat oleh Yahoo, setiap situs tidak masuk dalam kategori tapi pengguna layanan ini bebas menempelkan tag-tag terhadap situs yang ingin mereka tandai. [My del.icio.us here “http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda]<\/p>\n

\"Enda's<\/div>\n

Bebas, dalam arti *del.icio.us* tidak menyediakan kategori baku. Setiap orang bebas menggunakan tag-nya masing-masing. Baik yang masuk akal maupun tidak. Dan tidak perlu [sebaiknya] jangan satu. Apa aja yang bisa kamu pikirkan.
\nBlog ini misalnya: “Enda Nasution’s Weblog”:http:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/ bisa kamu beri tag: “enda”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/enda “indonesia”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/indonesia “bandung”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/bandung “blog”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/blog “male”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/male “ngaco”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/ngaco atau apa aja yang kamu mau.
\nSatu situs, satu hal, satu benda, tidak perlu jatuh *hanya* di satu kategori. Blog gue diatas bisa ditemukan dalam “enda”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/enda “indonesia”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/indonesia “bandung”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/bandung “blog”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/blog “male”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/male dan siapa saja yang menggunakan tag diatas akan menemukannya, dan siapa saja bebas menggunakan tag-nya masing-masing.
\n_Tidak ada kategori, tidak ada struktur, tidak ada hirarki._
\nLalu realita apa yang bisa diambil dari situ? Bukannya malah *kacau* ketika setiap orang bisa menempelkan tag-nya masing-masing? Ketika tidak ada struktur?
\nTernyata tidak *[_ketika dan hanya ketika_]* ada cukup banyak orang yang menggunakan tag tersebut dan berbagi tag yang sama.
\nKetika ada 200 [misalnya hehe] orang yang mem-bookmark blog ini, dan 100 diantaranya menandai [menge-tag] blog ini sebagai “indonesia”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/indonesia dan 50 orang “bandung”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/enda\/bandung, maka blog ini 50% Indonesia dan 25% Bandung.
\nBlog ini tidak harus masuk dalam salah satu kategori Indonesia atau Bandung, tapi masuk di kedua tag tersebut dengan probabilitas 50% Indonesia dan 25% Bandung.
\nDan begitu juga dengan situs-situs lain di Internet. Kategori sebuah situs tidak lagi tergantung pada editor direktori tapi terserah pada jumlah orang yang menge-tag situs tersebut [cek tag-tag paling aktif di del.icio.us: “web”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/tag\/web “design”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/tag\/design “programming”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/tag\/programming “howto”:http:\/\/del.icio.us\/tag\/howto etc.]
\nInilah realita baru yang lebih benar dan setia pada lingkungan disekeliling kita.
\nTidak lagi sesuatu harus ditentukan secara *deterministik* hitam atau putih atau abu-abu sekalipun tapi dengan data yang cukup, maka kita bisa mengatakan bahwa sesuatu itu *hitam 46%*, *putih 34%* dan *merah 20%*.
\nSeseorang tidak perlu jadi laki-laki atau wanita. Tapi dengan data yang cukup kita bisa mengatakan dia laki-laki 80%, atau dia wanita 75%.
\nSeorang hakim di muka pengadilan tidak harus berkata “bersalah” atau “tidak bersalah”, tapi bisa berkata dia “85% bersalah” atau “34% bersalah”
\nRealita dunia, dengan cukup data dan informasi, dikuasai oleh *rezim probabilitas* dan sama sekali tidak deterministik.
\nDengan data dan informasi yang cukup:
\nTidak ada lagi cap dan kategori “kawan” dan “lawan”, tapi “kawan 96%” dan “lawan 43%”.
\nTidak ada lagi “dia juara satu”, tapi “98% dialah juara satunya”.
\nTidak ada lagi “saya paling benar”, yang ada adalah “saya benar 93%”.
\nTidak lagi “ini kekerasan”, tapi “ini kekerasan 30% dan pendidikan 70%”.
\nTidak ada lagi “dia itu pakar cybercrime yang terkenal itu ya?” Tapi “oh dia sebenarnya ga tau apa-apa”. :p
\nTidak ada lagi “dia programmer atau manager?” Tapi “dia 45% programmer dan 55% manager”.
\nTidak ada lagi “saya seorang blogger”, tapi “saya 30% blogger, 30% suami, 30% ayah dan 10% belum jelas”. \ud83d\ude42
\nTidak ada lagi “mainstream media” atau “blog”. Semua BLOG! :p
\nTidak ada lagi 1 dan 0 semuanya _fuzzy_.
\nTidak ada lagi kebenaran 100%. Karena tidak ada yang memiliki kebenaran.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

_”On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. –Fight Club”_ Ketika kita melihat realita disekeliling kita yang sering kita lakukan adalah mengkategorikan realita tersebut dalam berbagai kategori: Laki-laki, wanita, anak-anak, orang tua. Heteroseksual, homoseksual, gay, … Continue reading →<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"aside","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-425","post","type-post","status-publish","format-aside","hentry","category-uncategorized","post_format-post-format-aside"],"yoast_head":"\nRezim Probabilitas - Enda Nasution's Weblog<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=425\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Rezim Probabilitas - Enda Nasution's Weblog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"_”On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero. –Fight Club”_ Ketika kita melihat realita disekeliling kita yang sering kita lakukan adalah mengkategorikan realita tersebut dalam berbagai kategori: Laki-laki, wanita, anak-anak, orang tua. 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Misalnya kita pengen kawin, pengen kaya, pengen cakep, pengen punya pacar, maka langkah\u2026","rel":"","context":"With 68 comments","block_context":{"text":"With 68 comments","link":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=468#comments"},"img":{"alt_text":"positive-thinking.jpg","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/images\/positive-thinking.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":434,"url":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=434","url_meta":{"origin":425,"position":1},"title":"Pertanyaan","author":"gala","date":"30\/11\/2005","format":"aside","excerpt":"_\"I refuse to answer that question on the grounds that I don't know the answer\" --Douglas Adams_ Punya anak tentu mengubah banyak hal. Diantara banyak hal itu salah satunya yang kepikiran sama gue adalah bagaimana secara otomatis otak si ayah dan ibu memasukkan faktor anak dalam semua pertimbangan dan keputusannya\u2026","rel":"","context":"With 37 comments","block_context":{"text":"With 37 comments","link":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=434#comments"},"img":{"alt_text":"pertanyaan.jpg","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/images\/pertanyaan.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":486,"url":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=486","url_meta":{"origin":425,"position":2},"title":"Cerita Subversif","author":"enda","date":"20\/01\/2010","format":"aside","excerpt":"Tulisan di bawah ini adalah \"Kata Penutup\" dari buku \"Bob Marley dan 11 Cerpen Pilihan Sriti.com\" yang saya tulis di September 2009 atas permintaan sang kurator Mas Chus dari Sriti.com. Selamat buat temen-temen dari Sriti.com atas terbitnya buku ini, dan dapatkan bukunya kalau belum punya sekarang juga hehe. 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Pertama kamu perlu bertanya pada\u2026","rel":"","context":"With 24 comments","block_context":{"text":"With 24 comments","link":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=307#comments"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":467,"url":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=467","url_meta":{"origin":425,"position":4},"title":"Tentang Relationship","author":"enda","date":"16\/02\/2007","format":"aside","excerpt":"_If the only way I can be with you is in my dreams, then I will sleep forever. --anonymous_ Hal pertama yang menarik dari _relationship_ adalah kenyataan bahwa kata ini (seperti juga \"penis\":http:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/quicklinks\/the-indonesian-language-donat-have-a-word-for-penis.html hehe) tidak memiliki padanan yang pas dalam bahasa Indonesia. Misalnya, ketika kita menterjemahkan pilihan status di Friendster\u2026","rel":"","context":"With 34 comments","block_context":{"text":"With 34 comments","link":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=467#comments"},"img":{"alt_text":"relationship.jpg","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/images\/relationship.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1002,"url":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?p=1002","url_meta":{"origin":425,"position":5},"title":"Laki-Laki Dewasa Adalah Tipe Blogger Terburuk","author":"enda","date":"04\/12\/2012","format":false,"excerpt":"A man does what he must -- in spite of personal consequences, in spite of obstacles and dangers, and pressures -- and that is the basis of all human morality --JFK Sekitar 3 minggu yang lalu gue dapet telpon dari sebuah panitia seminar di sebuah kampus. Mau mengadakan seminar tentang\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blog"","block_context":{"text":"Blog","link":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/?cat=135"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2012\/12\/MattTaylor_DonDraper_TimeOut-780x1024.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=425"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/425\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=425"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=425"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/enda.goblogmedia.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=425"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}